The AlphaGarage

A garage of independent AI-directed engines. Each engine reports the same board; more bays are under construction.

Epoch 3 · since 2026-07-20 (current strategy generation)

Strategy Performance

Jul 20 – Oct 19 · 65 trading days

Prior Day Return
-0.14%
most recent trading day
Past Week Return
-0.02%
trailing 5 trading days
Past Month Return
+0.89%
trailing 21 trading days
Cumulative Return
-14.60%
Since Jul 20 (65 trading days) · not annualized · total capital
Annualized Return
-46.28%
Closed + open positions · projected yearly pace · total capital · open positions marked at today's exit prices

Realized returns (closed trades)

Annualized · realized · deployed capital
-163.80%
Closed trades only · realized P&L per dollar-year of collateral committed · entries Jul 2026 onward

Resolved trades: 119

Small-sample figures; quoted with trade count until several expiry cycles have resolved.

Why two annualized numbers? · click to expand

They answer different questions. The realized figure above counts only trades that have fully finished — for each one, what it earned per dollar committed, for the days that dollar was committed — and ignores everything still open. The “Annualized Return” figure above it is the whole account's actual experience projected to a yearly rate: it includes those same finished trades, but it also counts every position still open — and it values each open position pessimistically, at what it would cost to pull out of that trade today, accepting the market's early-exit discount rather than waiting for the trade to finish. Income a position hasn't fully earned yet isn't counted; the possibility it finishes badly is. That built-in caution is most of the gap between the two numbers. As more trades reach the finish line — winners and the occasional loser alike — the two figures should gradually drift toward each other, and where they settle is the best estimate of the strategy's true long-run pace.

Normalized equity curve

Risk & quality vs. SPY

Sharpe
-4.94
Beta
-0.09
Alpha (ann.)
-60.34%
R²
0.01
Max drawdown
-15.78%
🏁 A new epoch begins 2026-07-20 — the engine moved to a fresh account with a rebuilt, stricter risk engine. Its record restarts at the epoch; everything before that date is the earlier era, preserved unchanged.

Annualized return by entry cohort

Each bar group covers trades entered that month or later — a fresh track record starting each month, so older experiments don't pollute the read on the current engine. Realized outcomes only: this strategy's wins are collected when options expire, and the first large expiry cohorts land July–September 2026 — until then these figures over-represent positions that were cut early and skew low.

View as table
Cohort (entered … or later)Resolved tradesOn deployed capitalOn total capital
Mar 2026241 (+16 unrecorded, excluded)-133.4%-175.4%
Apr 2026224 (+16 unrecorded, excluded)-133.4%-201.3%
May 2026182 (+16 unrecorded, excluded)-138.0%-236.0%
Jun 2026167-145.6%-288.1%
Jul 2026119-163.8%-324.5%
Aug 202650-184.0%-264.9%
Sep 202610-131.7%-53.0%
Oct 20260——