Epoch 3 · since 2026-07-20 (current strategy generation)

Strategy Performance

Jul 20 – Aug 18 · 22 trading days

Prior Day Return
+0.04%
most recent trading day
Past Week Return
-3.78%
trailing 5 trading days
Past Month Return
-10.48%
trailing 21 trading days
Cumulative Return
-10.48%
Since Jul 20 (22 trading days) · not annualized · total capital
Annualized Return
-73.52%
Closed + open positions · projected yearly pace · total capital · open positions marked at today's exit prices

Realized returns (closed trades)

Annualized · realized · deployed capital
-188.37%
Closed trades only · realized P&L per dollar-year of collateral committed · entries Jul 2026 onward

Resolved trades: 78

Small-sample figures; quoted with trade count until several expiry cycles have resolved.

Why two annualized numbers? · click to expand

They answer different questions. The realized figure above counts only trades that have fully finished — for each one, what it earned per dollar committed, for the days that dollar was committed — and ignores everything still open. The “Annualized Return” figure above it is the whole account's actual experience projected to a yearly rate: it includes those same finished trades, but it also counts every position still open — and it values each open position pessimistically, at what it would cost to pull out of that trade today, accepting the market's early-exit discount rather than waiting for the trade to finish. Income a position hasn't fully earned yet isn't counted; the possibility it finishes badly is. That built-in caution is most of the gap between the two numbers. As more trades reach the finish line — winners and the occasional loser alike — the two figures should gradually drift toward each other, and where they settle is the best estimate of the strategy's true long-run pace.

Normalized equity curve

Risk & quality vs. SPY

Sharpe
-7.91
Beta
-0.37
Alpha (ann.)
-113.62%
0.09
Max drawdown
-10.79%
🏁 AEv3 epoch begins 2026-07-20 — the engine moved to a fresh $500K paper account with a rebuilt, collateral-true risk engine. Its record restarts at the epoch; everything before that date is the AEv1/v2 era, preserved unchanged.

Annualized return by entry cohort

Each bar group covers trades entered that month or later — a fresh track record starting each month, so older experiments don't pollute the read on the current engine. Realized outcomes only: this strategy's wins are collected when options expire, and the first large expiry cohorts land July–September 2026 — until then these figures over-represent positions that were cut early and skew low.

View as table
Cohort (entered … or later)Resolved tradesOn deployed capitalOn total capital
Mar 2026200 (+16 unrecorded, excluded)-123.8%-127.7%
Apr 2026183 (+16 unrecorded, excluded)-123.7%-154.3%
May 2026141 (+16 unrecorded, excluded)-131.2%-195.6%
Jun 2026126-144.8%-271.8%
Jul 202678-188.4%-343.3%
Aug 202612-446.7%-106.5%